Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 329.020624 374.449676 425.481272 487.362855 560.782907 645.620064 751.804642
2025-01-19 249.509798 304.629255 372.281589 462.545803 581.537831 735.504772 953.930492
2025-01-26 223.165577 285.844764 367.646075 484.509172 651.041895 886.051397 1254.604040
2025-02-02 207.254447 276.089196 370.610573 513.709562 731.941749 1064.842286 1637.960345
2025-02-09 187.179222 257.012748 356.782240 514.952369 769.835589 1184.711203 1958.686622
2025-02-16 167.522648 235.680189 336.226883 501.782395 781.154557 1261.824179 2224.128347
2025-02-23 152.122989 218.663842 319.667464 491.758488 794.696540 1343.636009 2519.546364
2025-03-02 143.968707 211.601100 317.362753 504.187426 848.320780 1508.279988 3033.618782
2025-03-09 134.385798 201.228152 308.405506 503.648203 877.676748 1631.718983 3498.576099
2025-03-16 124.160492 188.820839 294.695815 492.652350 884.842132 1710.666540 3884.564974
2025-03-23 117.248192 181.188814 288.190594 493.793600 915.936800 1847.578391 4471.966315
2025-03-30 109.443015 171.383671 276.931897 484.442087 923.605926 1932.843264 4950.880117
2025-04-06 103.224479 163.985413 269.584724 482.488226 948.492765 2069.444751 5661.021189
2025-04-13 94.487317 151.592731 252.195913 458.602934 921.181285 2070.608051 5942.728853
2025-04-20 92.692761 151.256594 256.877650 480.281367 1002.224318 2376.790819 7453.996068
2025-04-27 91.816127 152.457410 264.506787 509.168800 1106.565577 2782.089508 9644.416295
2025-05-04 87.763862 147.497759 259.748504 510.397671 1141.970193 2996.259706 11202.893691
2025-05-11 82.518656 139.937791 249.211747 497.371352 1137.844184 3085.956999 12254.172085
2025-05-18 78.036279 133.524639 240.461313 487.456167 1140.544253 3200.172385 13536.349618
2025-05-25 76.095887 131.834424 241.158124 499.750219 1207.449825 3558.929078 16541.462152
2025-06-01 73.077856 127.840820 236.740382 499.216864 1237.555510 3797.000149 19102.835845
2025-06-08 69.357911 122.234272 228.494920 488.340355 1235.021648 3911.018870 20978.559311
2025-06-15 66.935574 119.057078 225.186924 489.469247 1269.684500 4187.986748 24450.379216